Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.64% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.