Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
Udinese 3 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Parma has a probability of 27.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Parma win is 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Fiorentina 47.02%
Draw 25.96%
Parma 27.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.09%
Under 1.5 28.91%
Over 2.5 46.12%
Under 2.5 53.88%
Over 3.5 24.17%
Under 3.5 75.83%
Over 4.5 13.18%
Under 4.5 86.82%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 37.5%
Draw 42.84%
Parma 19.66%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 58.74%
No Goal 8.39%
Parma 32.87%

Corners

Over 8 58.22%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 30.18%
Over 9 46.35%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 41.78%
Over 10.5 35.23%
Under 10.5 64.77%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 42.02%
Under 1.5 57.98%
Over 2.5 18.26%
Under 2.5 81.74%
Over 3.5 6.54%
Under 3.5 93.46%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 60.63%
Under 0.5 39.37%
Over 1.5 26.17%
Under 1.5 73.83%
Over 2.5 8.26%
Under 2.5 91.74%
Over 3.5 2.12%
Under 3.5 97.88%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 47.02%
Draw 25.96%
Parma 27.03%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 6.48%
Total : 47.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.96%
Parma
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.03%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 27, 2025 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alessandro Circati 20' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sorensen 48' goal
  • Edoardo Corvi 86' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Corvi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 22'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • 75' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Pellegrino 12'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 35'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Leoni 41'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Valenti 88'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Dennis Man 22' goal
  • Nahuel Estevez 36' yellowcard
  • Botond Balogh 49' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Circati 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 35'
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 75'
  • redcard Marin Pongracic 83'
Coppa Italia
Dec 6, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
ET Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Yerry Mina 38' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 83' goal
  • Riccardo Sottil 89' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 92' yellowcard
  • Gino Infantino 120' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Bernabe 21'
  • goal Ange-Yoan Bonny 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Chichizola 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ansaldi 96'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lucas Martinez 28' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 42' goal
  • Simone Iacoponi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Juraj Kucka 32'
  • yellowcard Juraj Kucka 56'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Pezzella 62'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 72'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 80'
  • goal Valentin Mihaila 90'
  • redcard Roberto D'Aversa 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giuseppe Pezzella 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 42'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 73'