Serie A Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Parma
  • Giovanni Fabbian 64' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Fazzini 81' yellowcard
  • Pietro Comuzzo 86' yellowcard
  • Marco Brescianini 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Ordóñez 54'
  • yellowcard Nesta Elphege 72'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Oristanio 72'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Oristanio 73'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estévez 82'

Fiorentina vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
Udinese 3 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 46.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.92%
Parma 27.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.18%
Under 2.5 53.82%
Over 3.5 24.28% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.74% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 37.5%
Draw 42.84%
Parma 19.66%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 58.75%
No Goal 8.37%
Parma 32.88%

Corners

Over 8 58.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 30.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 46.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 41.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 35.4% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 64.6% ▼ (-0.18)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 41.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 39.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.33%
Under 2.5 91.67%
Over 3.5 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 46.95%
Draw 25.92%
Parma 27.12%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.92%
Parma
0-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Parma
Dec 27, 2025 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Alessandro Circati 20' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sorensen 48' goal
  • Edoardo Corvi 86' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Corvi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 22'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Fiorentina
Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Parma
  • 75' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Pellegrino 12'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 35'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Leoni 41'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Valenti 88'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Parma
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
Fiorentina
  • Dennis Man 22' goal
  • Nahuel Estevez 36' yellowcard
  • Botond Balogh 49' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Circati 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 35'
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 75'
  • redcard Marin Pongracic 83'
Coppa Italia
Fiorentina
Dec 6, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
ET Stadio Artemio Franchi
Parma
  • Yerry Mina 38' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 83' goal
  • Riccardo Sottil 89' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 92' yellowcard
  • Gino Infantino 120' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Bernabe 21'
  • goal Ange-Yoan Bonny 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Chichizola 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ansaldi 96'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
Mar 7, 2021 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Parma
  • Lucas Martinez 28' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 42' goal
  • Simone Iacoponi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Juraj Kucka 32'
  • yellowcard Juraj Kucka 56'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Pezzella 62'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 72'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 80'
  • goal Valentin Mihaila 90'
  • redcard Roberto D'Aversa 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Parma
Nov 7, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Giuseppe Pezzella 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 42'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 73'

Form Data

Udinese 3 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 4 Jagiellonia
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Pisa
Jagiellonia 0 - 3 Fiorentina
Como 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Torino
Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
Parma 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Bologna 0 - 1 Parma
Parma 1 - 4 Juventus
Atalanta 4 - 0 Parma