Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 35.83%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (12.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.