Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Gaetano Oristanio 46' yellowcard
  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 46' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estévez 75' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Oristanio 83' goal
  • Franco Carboni 89' yellowcard
  • Benja Cremaschi 89' yellowcard
  • Benja Cremaschi 90' yellowcard
  • Franco Carboni 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Folorunsho 61'
  • goal Michael Folorunsho 62'
  • yellowcard Riyad Idrissi 87'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 87'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 88'

Parma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Parma 40.89% (-0.04)
Draw 27.66%
Cagliari 31.45% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.2% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 31.8% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 42.62% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 57.38% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.14% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 78.86% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.53% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.47% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Parma 31.25%
Draw 44.81%
Cagliari 23.94%

Team To Score First

Parma 51.66% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.26% (-0.02)
Cagliari 39.08% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.12%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 33.66%
Over 9 42.02%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 45.88%
Over 10.5 31.06%
Under 10.5 68.94%

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 35.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.95% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.74%
Under 3.5 96.26%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 63.88% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 36.12% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 28.97% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 71.03% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.43% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.57% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 2.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.46% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Parma 40.88%
Draw 27.67%
Cagliari 31.46%
Parma
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 40.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.67%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5% (+0.03)
Total : 31.46%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 13, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 57' goal
  • Florinel Coman 70' goal
  • yellowcard Drissa Camara 55'
  • goal Giovanni Leoni 78'
  • yellowcard Hernani 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Adrian Bernabe 25' yellowcard
  • Woyo Coulibaly 48' yellowcard
  • Dennis Man 62' goal
  • Hernani 87' goal
  • Anas Haj Mohamed 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Yerry Mina 7'
  • goal Nadir Zortea 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 53'
  • goal Razvan Marin 75'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 87'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 90'
Serie B
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Zito Luvumbo 68' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 85' goal
  • Zito Luvumbo 89' goal
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 10'
  • goal Simon Sohm 26'
Serie B Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2023 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Franco Vazquez 62' goal
  • Dennis Man 77' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 32'