Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Parma win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 30.94% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 0-1 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).

Result

Parma 41.46% (-0.07)
Draw 27.6% (+0.09)
Cagliari 30.94% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.53% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 31.47% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 42.86% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 57.14% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 21.42% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 78.58% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 10.71% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 89.29% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Parma 31.25%
Draw 44.81%
Cagliari 23.94%

Team To Score First

Parma 51.6% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.15% (+0.14)
Cagliari 39.25% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 54.15%
Equal 8 12.21% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.64% (+0.01)
Over 9 42.05% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.1% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.85%
Over 10.5 31.08% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 68.92% (-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 36.06% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 63.94% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 13.41% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.59% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 3.9% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.1% (+0.07)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 63.65% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 36.35% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 28.69% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 71.31% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 9.28% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 90.72% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.43% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.57% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Parma 41.46%
Draw 27.6%
Cagliari 30.95%
Parma
1-0 @ 12.57% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.53% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.86% (-0.08)
Total : 41.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.15% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.6%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 9.76% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.39% (-0.07)
Total : 30.95%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 13, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 57' goal
  • Florinel Coman 70' goal
  • yellowcard Drissa Camara 55'
  • goal Giovanni Leoni 78'
  • yellowcard Hernani 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Adrian Bernabe 25' yellowcard
  • Woyo Coulibaly 48' yellowcard
  • Dennis Man 62' goal
  • Hernani 87' goal
  • Anas Haj Mohamed 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Yerry Mina 7'
  • goal Nadir Zortea 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 53'
  • goal Razvan Marin 75'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 87'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 90'
Serie B
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Zito Luvumbo 68' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 85' goal
  • Zito Luvumbo 89' goal
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 10'
  • goal Simon Sohm 26'
Serie B Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2023 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Franco Vazquez 62' goal
  • Dennis Man 77' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 32'