Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Lecce 0 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Nikola Stulic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cagliari win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Lecce win it is 0-1 (6.99%).

Result

Cagliari 55.29% (+0.04)
Draw 25.2%
Lecce 19.48% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.93% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 54.57% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 23.9% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.1% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.59% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 36.67%
Draw 44.1%
Lecce 19.23%

Team To Score First

Cagliari 57.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.17% (+0.02)
Lecce 34.25%

Corners

Over 8 60.24%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 28.23%
Over 9 48.25%
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 39.76%
Over 10.5 36.84%
Under 10.5 63.16%

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 47.49% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.51% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.94%
Under 2.5 78.06%
Over 3.5 8.2%
Under 3.5 91.8%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 53.39% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.91% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 80.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.96% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 55.3%
Draw 25.2%
Lecce 19.49%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.89% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.46% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.17%
Total : 55.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.2%
Lecce
0-1 @ 6.99% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Total : 19.49%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ndary Adopo 52' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 60' goal
  • Sebastiano Luperto 65' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 80' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 83' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 45'
  • redcard Ante Rebic 73'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 26' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 45'+1' redcard
  • Wladimiro Falcone 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 24'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 48'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 70'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Valter Birsa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 75'