Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.23% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.