Serie A Gameweek 25
Cagliari
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Lecce
  • goal Omri Gandelman 64'
  • goal Ylber Ramadani 76'

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Sebastiano Esposito

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Lecce 2 - 1 Udinese
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.23% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Cagliari 55.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 25.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Lecce 19.31% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.56% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 29.44% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 45% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 55% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 23.53% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 76.47% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 13.16% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 86.84% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 36.67%
Draw 44.1%
Lecce 19.23%

Team To Score First

Cagliari 57.5% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 8.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Lecce 34.2% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.24%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 28.23%
Over 9 48.25%
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 39.76%
Over 10.5 36.84%
Under 10.5 63.16%

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 47.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 52.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 21.74% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 78.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 8.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 91.92% ▲ (+0.08)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 52.98% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 47.02% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 19.58% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 80.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 95.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.91% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cagliari 55.41%
Draw 25.23%
Lecce 19.32%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 14.09% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 55.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.23%
Lecce
0-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 19.32%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Lecce
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Cagliari
  • Tiago Gabriel 5' goal
  • Tiago Gabriel 20' yellowcard
  • Lassana Coulibaly 26' yellowcard
  • goal Andrea Belotti 33'
  • yellowcard Sebastiano Esposito 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 58'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 89'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Cagliari
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Lecce
  • Ndary Adopo 52' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 60' goal
  • Sebastiano Luperto 65' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 80' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 83' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 45'
  • redcard Ante Rebic 73'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Lecce
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Cagliari
  • Nikola Krstovic 26' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 45'+1' redcard
  • Wladimiro Falcone 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 24'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 48'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 70'
Serie A Gameweek 35
Cagliari
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Lecce
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Lecce
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Cagliari
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Cagliari
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Lecce
  • Valter Birsa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 75'

Form Data

Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 4 - 0 Hellas Verona
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus
Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari
Cremonese 2 - 2 Cagliari
Lecce 2 - 1 Udinese
Torino 1 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 0 Lazio
AC Milan 1 - 0 Lecce
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 2 Parma