Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.07% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.