Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.