Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.