Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2026 7.45pm
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 2 Lecce
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.00pm
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 35.35% and a draw has a probability of 28.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 1-0 (10.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Cagliari 35.35% (+0.08)
Draw 28.14% (-0.01)
Lazio 36.51% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.83% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.17% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.31% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.69% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.87% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.13% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 27.17%
Draw 48.41%
Lazio 24.42%

Team To Score First

Cagliari 45.56% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.23% (-0.01)
Lazio 45.21%

Corners

Over 8 49.43% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.62% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.96% (-0.09)
Over 9 37.4% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.02)
Under 9 50.57% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 26.92% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 73.08% (-0.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 33.02% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.98% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.08% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.48% (-0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.33% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.94% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.06% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 12.03% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.97% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 35.34%
Draw 28.15%
Lazio 36.49%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.29% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Total : 35.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 28.15%
Lazio
0-1 @ 10.63% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Total : 36.49%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Roberto Piccoli 55' goal
  • goal 17'
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 41'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 64'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Boulaye Dia 2' goal
  • Tijanni Noslin 25' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 61' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 76' goal
  • Nicolo Rovella 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ndary Adopo 9'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Augello 17'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 29'
  • goal Zito Luvumbo 41'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 49'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 64'
  • yellowcard Sebastiano Luperto 74'
  • redcard Ndary Adopo 78'
  • redcard Yerry Mina 78'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Gianluca Gaetano 51' goal
  • Antoine Makoumbou 52' yellowcard
  • Simone Aresti 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Alessandro Deiola 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 45'+1'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 49'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 65'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 67'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Pedro 8' goal
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 12'
  • redcard Antoine Makoumbou 27'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 75'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Giorgio Altare 18' yellowcard
  • Razvan Marin 75' yellowcard
  • Matteo Lovato 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 19'
  • goal Luis Alberto 42'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 62'
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 71'
  • redcard Adam Marusic 89'