Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.48% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.