Serie A
AC Milan
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma
  • Ardon Jashari 11' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Pavlović 62' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 62' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 85' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 85' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 87' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Sørensen 59'
  • yellowcard Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 59'
  • yellowcard Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ondrejka 76'
  • goal Mariano Troilo 80'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estévez 90'+3'

AC Milan vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Como
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Parma 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.76% and a win for Parma had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 65.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Parma 12.54% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.76% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 30.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 55.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 23.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.73%
Over 4.5 14.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.39% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 47.32%
Draw 38.84%
Parma 13.84%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 68.92% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Parma 22.47%

Corners

Over 8 60.4% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 28.3% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 48.64% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 39.6% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 37.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 62.57% ▼ (-0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 53.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 11.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 42.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 57.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 12.42%
Under 1.5 87.58%
Over 2.5 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 97.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 65.69%
Draw 21.77%
Parma 12.54%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 16.1% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 13.48% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 65.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.77%
Parma
0-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 12.54%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Parma
Nov 8, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
Serie A Gameweek 22
AC Milan
Jan 26, 2025 11.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma
  • Strahinja Pavlovic 12' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 38' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 43' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 90'+2' goal
  • Samuel Chukwueze 90'+5' goal
  • goal Matteo Cancellieri 24'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 33'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 37'
  • yellowcard Enrico Del Prato 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Anas Haj Mohamed 74'
  • goal Enrico Del Prato 80'
  • yellowcard Antoine Hainaut 85'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Parma
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
AC Milan
  • Dennis Man 2' goal
  • Matteo Cancellieri 77' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 34'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 66'
  • yellowcard Emerson 88'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Parma
Apr 10, 2021 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Mattia Bani 10' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Pezzella 37' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 38' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 64' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 66' goal
  • goal Ante Rebic 8'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 24'
  • goal Franck Kessie 44'
  • redcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 60'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 81'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 90'
  • goal Rafael Leao 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 11
AC Milan
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Parma
  • Theo Hernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 58' goal
  • Davide Calabria 80' yellowcard
  • Pierre Kalulu 83' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+1' goal
  • goal Hernani 13'
  • yellowcard Yordan Osorio 41'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 56'
  • yellowcard Simone Iacoponi 65'
  • yellowcard Roberto Inglese 77'
Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Parma
  • Andrea Conti 33' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 55' goal
  • Alessio Romagnoli 59' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 77' goal
  • yellowcard Alberto Grassi 33'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 44'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 65'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 1 Como
Pisa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Bologna 0 - 3 AC Milan
Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Lecce
Como 1 - 3 AC Milan
Parma 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Bologna 0 - 1 Parma
Parma 1 - 4 Juventus
Atalanta 4 - 0 Parma
Parma 0 - 0 Genoa
Napoli 0 - 0 Parma