Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Pisa win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.