Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.63% and a win for Como had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.45%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.