Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
Cremonese 1 - 4 Fiorentina
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw has a probability of 25.11% and a win for Fiorentina has a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Fiorentina win it is 1-0 (7.3%).

Result

Fiorentina 24.91% (-0.20)
Draw 25.11% (-0.04)
Inter Milan 50.01% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.89% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.33% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.67% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.6% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.4% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.01%
Under 4.5 84.99%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 26.05%
Draw 40.81%
Inter Milan 33.14%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 41.1% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.73% (+0.05)
Inter Milan 51.17% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.53%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 35.71%
Over 9 41.02%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 47.47%
Over 10.5 30.66%
Under 10.5 69.34%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 25.81% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 74.19% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 8.64% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.36% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.54% (+0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 77.35% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 22.65% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 45.52% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 54.48% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 20.52% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 79.48% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.4% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 24.91%
Draw 25.1%
Inter Milan 50.02%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.38% (-0.03)
Total : 24.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.1%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 11.89% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 9.3% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.94% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.52% (+0.05)
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marin Pongracic 28' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 31' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 36' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 52' goal
  • Nicola Zalewski 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 31'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 39'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 66'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luca Ranieri 59' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 89' goal
  • goal 15'
  • goal Carlos Augusto 30'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Jonathan Ikone 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 42'
  • yellowcard Yann Sommer 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 82'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 23' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 58' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Italiano 60'+60'
Coppa Italia
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 29'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 37'