Serie A
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Pio Esposito 26' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 65' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 65' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 76' yellowcard
  • Stefan de Vrij 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 51'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 52'
  • yellowcard Éderson 52'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 65'
  • yellowcard Kamaldeen Sulemana 65'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 76'
  • goal Nikola Krstović 82'

Inter Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 5.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 2 Udinese
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.22% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 55.04%
Draw 23.22%
Atalanta BC 21.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05%
Under 1.5 21.95%
Over 2.5 55%
Under 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 32.79% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.21% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.59% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.41% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 39.68%
Draw 39.31%
Atalanta BC 21.01%

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 59.66% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.72% (+0.01)
Atalanta BC 34.62%

Corners

Over 8 52.66%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 35.52%
Over 9 41.1%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 47.34%
Over 10.5 30.69%
Under 10.5 69.31%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 53.25% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.75% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 73.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.19% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.81% (+0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 58.31%
Under 0.5 41.69%
Over 1.5 25.8% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.43% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.36%
Under 3.5 97.64%

Score analysis

Inter Milan 55.03%
Draw 23.23%
Atalanta BC 21.71%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.01% (-0.01)
Total : 55.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.23%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 5.8%
1-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.71%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sead Kolasinac 19' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 77'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Raoul Bellanova 39' yellowcard
  • Ederson 81' yellowcard
  • Ederson 81' redcard
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 88' redcard
  • goal Carlos Augusto 54'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 79'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 86'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 87'
  • redcard Alessandro Bastoni 90'+5'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 2, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Denzel Dumfries 49' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 61' goal
  • Carlos Augusto 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgio Scalvini 28'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Berat Djimsiti 4' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 10' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 47' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 56' goal
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mateo Retegui 53'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Matteo Darmian 22' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 26' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Federico Dimarco 54' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 71' goal
  • Alessandro Bastoni 76' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 10'
  • yellowcard Ederson 45'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 53'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 65'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 71'
  • yellowcard El Bilal Toure 89'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Marten de Roon 26' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 35' yellowcard
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 40' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 61' goal
  • Rafael Toloi 85' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 40'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 57'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 89'