Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.22% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.