Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.28% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.