Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 35.81%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (11.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.