Serie A Gameweek 26
Lecce
Feb 21, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan

Lecce vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 2 Lecce
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Nikola Stulic

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Juventus
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw has a probability of 21.82% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.85%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Lecce win it is 1-0 (5.52%).

Result

Lecce 13.63% ▲ (+2.38)
Draw 21.82% ▲ (+1.68)
Inter Milan 64.52% ▼ (-4.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.43% ▲ (+1.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.83% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 29.17% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 2.5 46.13% ▼ (-1.91)
Under 2.5 53.87% ▲ (+1.91)
Over 3.5 24.68% ▼ (-2.15)
Under 3.5 75.32% ▲ (+2.14)
Over 4.5 15.27% ▼ (-2.36)
Under 4.5 84.73% ▲ (+2.36)

First Half Winner

Lecce 16.42% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 38.76% ▲ (+0.98)
Inter Milan 44.82% ▼ (-1.79)

Team To Score First

Lecce 24.1% ▲ (+1.72)
No Goal 8.36% ▲ (+0.39)
Inter Milan 67.54% ▼ (-2.10)

Corners

Over 8 53.3% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 8 12.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 34.67% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 9 41.46% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 46.7% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 10.5 30.79% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 69.21% ▼ (-0.22)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 13.96% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 1.5 86.04% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 2.5 2.91% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 2.5 97.09% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 3.5 0.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 99.47% ▼ (-0.18)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 83.1% ▼ (-1.92)
Under 0.5 16.9% ▲ (+1.91)
Over 1.5 53.57% ▼ (-4.05)
Under 1.5 46.43% ▲ (+4.05)
Over 2.5 27.42% ▼ (-3.80)
Under 2.5 72.58% ▲ (+3.80)
Over 3.5 11.43% ▼ (-2.34)
Under 3.5 88.57% ▲ (+2.34)

Score analysis

Lecce 13.62%
Draw 21.83%
Inter Milan 64.51%
Lecce
1-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.70)
2-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.52)
2-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 0.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 13.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.94)
0-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.83%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 15.25% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 12.85% ▼ (-1.06)
1-2 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.76)
1-3 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 11.42% ▼ (-2.34)
Total : 64.51%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 16
Inter Milan
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 56' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 57' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 57' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 72' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 78' goal
  • Petar Sučić 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 68'
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 69'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kaba 69'
  • yellowcard Konan N'dri 82'
  • yellowcard Alex Sala Herrero 86'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Lecce
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan
  • goal Davide Frattesi 6'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 16'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 31'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 39'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 57'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 61'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 82'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Inter Milan
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 8
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Matteo Darmian 5' goal
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 69' goal
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 31'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 60'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Lecce
Feb 25, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan
  • Nicola Sansone 2' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 15'
  • yellowcard Kristjan Asllani 38'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 54'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 56'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 63'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 67'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
Dec 23, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Simone Inzaghi 16' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 30' yellowcard
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 43' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joan Gonzalez 15'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 64'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 74'
  • redcard Lameck Banda 83'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Inter Milan
Mar 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal

Form Data

Cagliari 0 - 2 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 0 Udinese
Torino 0 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 0 Lazio
AC Milan 1 - 0 Lecce
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Lecce
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Juventus
Sassuolo 0 - 5 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 1 Torino
Cremonese 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Dortmund 0 - 2 Inter Milan