Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.