Serie A Gameweek 28
AC Milan
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Pervis Estupiñán 35' goal
  • Niclas Füllkrug 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 59'
  • yellowcard Petar Sučić 59'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Augusto 68'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 80'

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.30am
Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 32.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.22%
Inter Milan 40.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.55% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 48.24% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 51.76% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 26.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.94% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 29.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.17%
Inter Milan 28.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 46.38%
No Goal 7.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Inter Milan 45.88% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.33% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 36.61% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 9 41.5% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 47.67% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 10.5 31.7% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.16)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.47%
Under 2.5 88.53%
Over 3.5 3.42%
Under 3.5 96.58%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 27.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

AC Milan 32.86%
Draw 26.21%
Inter Milan 40.93%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 32.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.21%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 40.93%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Inter Milan
Nov 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
Coppa Italia
Inter Milan
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 36'
  • goal Luka Jovic 50'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 85'
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 47' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 53'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 67'
Serie A Gameweek 23
AC Milan
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'
Supercoppa Italiana
Inter Milan
Jan 6, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 72' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 89' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 57'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 80'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 28' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 68' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 10'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 38'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 89'

Form Data

Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
AC Milan 1 - 1 Como
Pisa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Bologna 0 - 3 AC Milan
Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan
Como 0 - 0 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Inter Milan 1 - 2 Bodo/Glimt
Lecce 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Juventus

Build-up

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