Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.30am
Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 31.91% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-0 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

AC Milan 31.91%
Draw 25.6%
Inter Milan 42.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.59%
Under 1.5 25.41%
Over 2.5 50.09%
Under 2.5 49.91%
Over 3.5 27.66%
Under 3.5 72.34%
Over 4.5 15.16%
Under 4.5 84.84%

First Half Winner

AC Milan 29.12%
Draw 41.85%
Inter Milan 29.04%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 45.62%
No Goal 7.07%
Inter Milan 47.31%

Corners

Over 8 53.05%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 35.7%
Over 9 41.98%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 46.95%
Over 10.5 31.94%
Under 10.5 68.06%

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 32.65%
Under 1.5 67.35%
Over 2.5 11.85%
Under 2.5 88.15%
Over 3.5 3.51%
Under 3.5 96.49%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.9%
Under 0.5 26.1%
Over 1.5 40.95%
Under 1.5 59.05%
Over 2.5 17.17%
Under 2.5 82.83%
Over 3.5 5.92%
Under 3.5 94.08%

Score analysis

AC Milan 31.91%
Draw 25.6%
Inter Milan 42.53%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 31.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.6%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 5.87%
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 36'
  • goal Luka Jovic 50'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 85'
Coppa Italia
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 47' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 53'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 67'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 6, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 72' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 89' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 57'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 80'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 28' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 68' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 10'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 38'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 89'