Serie A
Mar 1, 2026 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Filippo Terracciano 66' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Barbieri 66' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 66' yellowcard
  • Alberto Grassi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 62'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 62'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 63'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 78'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 78'
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 78'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 79'
  • goal Strahinja Pavlović 89'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupiñán 89'
  • goal Rafael Leão 90'+4'

Cremonese vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 3 - 0 Cremonese
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.71% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Cremonese 16.55% (-0.22)
Draw 25.71%
AC Milan 57.78% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.57% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.25% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 33.75% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 40.75% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 59.25% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 20.53% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 79.47% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 11.45% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 88.55% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Cremonese 19.96%
Draw 44%
AC Milan 36.05%

Team To Score First

Cremonese 31.66% (-0.11)
No Goal 10.6% (-0.08)
AC Milan 57.74% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.8% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.4% (+0.07)
Under 8 34.8% (-0.11)
Over 9 40.63% (-0.03)
Equal 9 12.16% (+0.08)
Under 9 47.2% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 29.74% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 70.26% (+0.08)

Cremonese Goals

Over 1.5 15.9% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 84.1% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 4.25% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 95.75% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.86% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 99.14% (+0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.1% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 20.9% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 46.19% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 53.81% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 20.59% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.34% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.66% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cremonese 16.55%
Draw 25.7%
AC Milan 57.79%
Cremonese
1-0 @ 6.57% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 4.07% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.78% (-0.04)
Total : 16.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.7%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 16.62% (+0.49)
0-2 @ 12.2% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 6.45% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.08)
Other @ 7.26% (-0.03)
Total : 57.79%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Junior Messias 90'+3' goal
  • goal David Okereke 77'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini