Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.71% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.