Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.37% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.