Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
ArcelorMittal Park

Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Rakow

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Rakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 30.54% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 44.14% (-2.18)
Draw 25.32% (+0.27)
Fiorentina 30.54% (+1.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (+1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.73% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 24.27% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 52.5% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 47.5% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 31.08% (+1.45)
Under 3.5 68.92% (-1.46)
Over 4.5 18.36% (+1.11)
Under 4.5 81.64% (-1.11)

First Half Winner

Rakow Czestochowa 35.07% (-2.64)
Draw 41.95% (-0.26)
Fiorentina 22.98% (+2.88)

Team To Score First

Rakow Czestochowa 53.62% (-5.23)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.10)
Fiorentina 39.55% (+5.32)

Corners

Over 8 41.24% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.98% (-0.37)
Under 8 46.78% (+0.54)
Over 9 30.53% (+0.17)
Equal 9 10.71% (-0.34)
Under 9 58.76% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 21.69% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 78.31% (-0.41)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 1.5 43.6% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 56.4% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 19.87% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 80.13% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 7.51% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.49% (-0.10)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 65.35% (+1.80)
Under 0.5 34.65% (-1.81)
Over 1.5 32.72% (+2.29)
Under 1.5 67.28% (-2.29)
Over 2.5 12.89% (+1.42)
Under 2.5 87.11% (-1.43)
Over 3.5 4.45% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 95.55% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 44.13%
Draw 25.32%
Fiorentina 30.55%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.75)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.54)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.3% (-0.01)
Total : 44.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.10)
Total : 25.32%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.97% (+0.32)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 2.9% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.91% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.24% (+0.63)
Total : 30.55%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Albert Gudmundsson 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 59' yellowcard
  • Cher Ndour 62' goal
  • Dodô 68' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Braschi 82' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Fagioli 82' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jonatan Braut Brunes 60'
  • yellowcard Zoran Arsenic 60'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 60'
  • yellowcard Marko Bulat 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rocha 80'