Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT ArcelorMittal Park
  • Fran Tudor 19' yellowcard
  • Ariel Mosor 19' yellowcard
  • Karol Struski 46' goal
  • Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 69' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Rocha 79' yellowcard
  • Adriano 80' yellowcard
  • Marko Bulat 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 61'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 61'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 68'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 88'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+1'
  • goal Marin Pongracic 90'+7'

Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Rakow

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Rakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 44.14% (+0.07)
Draw 25.35%
Fiorentina 30.54% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.77% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.23% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 52.56%
Under 2.5 47.44%
Over 3.5 31.14%
Under 3.5 68.86%
Over 4.5 18.41%
Under 4.5 81.59%

First Half Winner

Rakow Czestochowa 35.21%
Draw 41.86%
Fiorentina 22.93%

Team To Score First

Rakow Czestochowa 53.62%
No Goal 6.83%
Fiorentina 39.55%

Corners

Over 8 41% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 8 47.06% (+0.07)
Over 9 30.35% (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.65% (-0.01)
Under 9 59% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 21.57% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 78.43% (+0.05)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 1.5 43.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.92% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.08% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.46% (-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 65.36% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.64% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.26% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 12.91% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.09% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.54% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 44.15%
Draw 25.34%
Fiorentina 30.54%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 7.32% (+0.04)
Total : 44.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.34%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.24% (-0.02)
Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Albert Gudmundsson 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 59' yellowcard
  • Cher Ndour 62' goal
  • Dodô 68' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Braschi 82' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Fagioli 82' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jonatan Braut Brunes 60'
  • yellowcard Zoran Arsenic 60'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 60'
  • yellowcard Marko Bulat 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rocha 80'