Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2026 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lukas Sadilek 23' goal
  • Lukas Ambros 43' goal
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Ondrej Zmrzly 46' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 68' yellowcard
  • Lukas Sadilek 88' goal
  • Lukas Podolski 90' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 90' yellowcard
  • Bastien Donio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Makuch 46'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos Silva 46'
  • yellowcard Adriano 46'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Braut Brunes 46'
  • yellowcard Karol Struski 46'
  • yellowcard Paweł Dawidowicz 72'
  • goal Michael Ameyaw 79'

Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
Motor Lublin 0 - 0 Gornik
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lukas Sadilek

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.30pm
Rakow 2 - 0 Szczecin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jonatan Braut Brunes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Gornik Zabrze 39.47% (+0.15)
Draw 26.62% (-0.02)
Rakow Czestochowa 33.9% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41%
Under 1.5 25.59%
Over 2.5 50.46% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.45% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.55% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gornik Zabrze 29.6%
Draw 42.8%
Rakow Czestochowa 27.59%

Team To Score First

Gornik Zabrze 47.59%
No Goal 7.25%
Rakow Czestochowa 45.16%

Corners

Over 8 56.35% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.03)
Under 8 32.14% (+0.10)
Over 9 44.76% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.05)
Under 9 43.65% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 34.02%
Under 10.5 65.98%

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 1.5 39.25% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 60.75% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.05% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.95% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.04)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.8% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 65.2% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.33% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.67% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.21% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.79% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Gornik Zabrze 39.46%
Draw 26.62%
Rakow Czestochowa 33.91%
Gornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 5% (+0.04)
Total : 39.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 26.62%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.01% (-0.03)
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Vladyslav Kochergin 45'+1' goal
  • Gustav Berggren 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Hellebrand 84'
  • yellowcard Patrik Hellebrand 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Rafal Janicki 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Norbert Wojtuszek 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamil Pestka 34'
  • yellowcard Fran Tudor 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 19, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Matej Rodin 36' yellowcard
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 52' yellowcard
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 58' redcard
  • goal Sebastian Musiolik 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Daisuke Yokota 10' goal
  • Daisuke Yokota 22' goal
  • Michal Siplak 63' yellowcard
  • Dani Pacheco 70' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 55'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Kochergin 59'
  • goal Ante Crnac 82'
  • yellowcard Fran Tudor 86'