Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Kamil Lukoszek 46' yellowcard
  • Borislav Ivanov Rupanov 46' yellowcard
  • Borislav Rupanov 46' yellowcard
  • Pawel Olkowski 72' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 82' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 83' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Ishak 10'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Skrzypczak 46'
  • yellowcard Ali Gholizadeh 58'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 58'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 77'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 82'

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 1.45pm
Gornik 2 - 1 Piast Gliwice
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lukas Sadilek

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.30pm
Piast Gliwice 1 - 0 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 45%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Gornik Zabrze 45% (-0.14)
Draw 23.9% (+0.03)
Lech Poznan 31.09% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.54% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.12% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.88% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 54.78% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.22% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.09% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.71% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.29% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Gornik Zabrze 31.51% (+0.02)
Draw 40.62% (-0.03)
Lech Poznan 27.87% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Gornik Zabrze 50.26% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.81%
Lech Poznan 43.93% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.83% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.85%
Under 8 26.32% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.33% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 37.17% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 40.14% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 59.86% (-0.03)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 1.5 45.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.16% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.84% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.22% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.78% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 67.29% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 32.71% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 33.96% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.04% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.05% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.95% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Gornik Zabrze 45%
Draw 23.92%
Lech Poznan 31.1%
Gornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.21% (-0.03)
Total : 45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.92%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 7.53% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.11% (+0.04)
Total : 31.1%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Luka Zahovic 4' goal
  • Kamil Lukoszek 14' goal
  • Rafal Janicki 55' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 59' redcard
  • Lukas Ambros 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Afonso Sousa 13'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Monka 26'
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 65'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 68'
  • yellowcard Afonso Sousa 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 32' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 85' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Rafal Janicki 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Manuel Sanchez Garcia 50'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lawrence Ennali 68' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Jesper Karlstrom 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 70' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 79' yellowcard
  • goal Daisuke Yokota 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Musiolik 51'