Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 45%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.