Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.