Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.