Polish Ekstraklasa
Feb 21, 2026 4.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Yvan Ikia Dimi 61' yellowcard
  • Lukas Ambros 61' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 79' yellowcard
  • Borislav Rupanov 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Léo Borges 46'
  • yellowcard Jan Bieganski 67'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 79'
  • yellowcard Danijel Loncar 79'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Ulvestad 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kacper Smolinski 90'+3'

Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 6.00pm
Nieciecza 1 - 1 Gornik
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Patrik Hellebrand

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.45pm
Szczecin 1 - 0 Arka Gdynia
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Gornik Zabrze 51.65% (+0.01)
Draw 23.73% (-0.01)
Pogon Szczecin 24.62% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.98% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.96%
Under 2.5 44.04%
Over 3.5 33.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.89% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.34% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.66% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gornik Zabrze 37.15%
Draw 40.66%
Pogon Szczecin 22.19%

Team To Score First

Gornik Zabrze 55.8%
No Goal 5.67%
Pogon Szczecin 38.53%

Corners

Over 8 64.25% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 25.24%
Over 9 52.99%
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 35.75% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.9%
Under 10.5 58.1%

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 1.5 51.27%
Under 1.5 48.73%
Over 2.5 24.61% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.46% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.54% (+0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 62.77% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.23% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.06%
Under 3.5 96.94%

Score analysis

Gornik Zabrze 51.66%
Draw 23.73%
Pogon Szczecin 24.62%
Gornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 10.7% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.14% (-0.01)
Total : 51.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.73%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.62%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2025 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 8' goal
  • Linus Wahlqvist 39' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 48' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 61' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 67' yellowcard
  • Danijel Loncar 79' yellowcard
  • Olaf Korczakowski 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Janza 33'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Luka Zahovic 83' goal
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Valentin Cojocaru 23' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Zech 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gorgon 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 67' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos 30'
  • yellowcard Lukas Podolski 70'
  • yellowcard Erik Janza 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kryspin Szczesniak 90'+5'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lawrence Ennali 5' goal
  • Erik Janza 70' yellowcard
  • Erik Janza 70' redcard
  • Boris Sekulic 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Musiolik 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kamil Lukoszek 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benedikt Zech 20'
  • yellowcard Vahan Bichakhchyan 41'