Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2026 1.45pm
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 11.15am
Szczecin 1 - 0 Nieciecza
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.45pm
Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 Legia
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Marc Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw has a probability of 22.23% and a win for Arka Gdynia has a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it is 0-1 (5.33%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 59.91% (-0.03)
Draw 22.23% (-0.06)
Arka Gdynia 17.87% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.9% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.1% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 55.6% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 44.4% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 32.37% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 67.63% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 19.93% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.07% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 43.22% (+0.04)
Draw 38.92% (-0.09)
Arka Gdynia 17.86% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 61.75% (+0.11)
No Goal 5.98% (-0.07)
Arka Gdynia 32.27% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.08% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 27.1% (+0.05)
Over 9 50.69% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.92% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.66% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.34% (+0.03)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 56.37% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 43.63% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 29.87%
Under 2.5 70.13%
Over 3.5 12.49% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 87.51% (-0.05)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 55.01% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 44.99% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 21.68% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 78.32% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 6.3% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.7% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.57% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.43% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 59.91%
Draw 22.22%
Arka Gdynia 17.86%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.07)
Other @ 12.38% (+0.06)
Total : 59.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.22%
Arka Gdynia
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 2, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT