Polish Ekstraklasa
Feb 15, 2026 1.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Paul Mukairu 5' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 65' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mendy 76' yellowcard
  • Jan Bieganski 77' yellowcard
  • Danijel Loncar 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dawid Kocyla 63'
  • yellowcard O. Kubiak 63'
  • yellowcard Vladislavs Gutkovskis 73'
  • yellowcard Dawid Abramowicz 86'
  • yellowcard Luis Perea 86'

Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 11.15am
Szczecin 1 - 1 Nieciecza
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.45pm
Arka Gdynia 2 - 2 Legia
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 59.91% (-0.03)
Draw 22.23% (-0.06)
Arka Gdynia 17.87% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.9% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.1% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 55.6% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 44.4% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 32.37% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 67.63% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 19.93% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.07% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 43.22% (+0.04)
Draw 38.92% (-0.09)
Arka Gdynia 17.86% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 61.75% (+0.11)
No Goal 5.98% (-0.07)
Arka Gdynia 32.27% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.08% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 27.1% (+0.05)
Over 9 50.69% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.92% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.66% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.34% (+0.03)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 56.37% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 43.63% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 29.87%
Under 2.5 70.13%
Over 3.5 12.49% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 87.51% (-0.05)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 55.01% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 44.99% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 21.68% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 78.32% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 6.3% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.7% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.57% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.43% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 59.91%
Draw 22.22%
Arka Gdynia 17.86%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.07)
Other @ 12.38% (+0.06)
Total : 59.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.22%
Arka Gdynia
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 2, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT