Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.