Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 8, 2026 11.15am
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Szczecin
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 6.00pm
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Cracovia
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Jesus Jimenez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nieciecza has a probability of 29.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nieciecza win is 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 46.17% (+0.67)
Draw 24.36% (+0.11)
Nieciecza 29.48% (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.46% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.41% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 19.59% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 59.8% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.47% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 63.53% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 21.72% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.28% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 37.07% (+1.14)
Draw 40.88% (-1.20)
Nieciecza 22.05% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 53.65% (-0.33)
No Goal 5.45% (-0.23)
Nieciecza 40.9% (+0.56)

Corners

Over 8 61.29% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.78% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.86% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.71% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 38.85% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 61.15% (+0.06)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 48.86% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 51.14% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 24.34% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 75.66% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 9.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.72% (-0.02)

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 67.25% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.75% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.14% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 64.86% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 13.95% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 86.05% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 4.55% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.45% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 46.17%
Draw 24.36%
Nieciecza 29.49%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.14)
Other @ 9.08% (+0.07)
Total : 46.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.04)
Total : 24.36%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.13)
Other @ 4.35% (-0.10)
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2025 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT