Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 8, 2026 11.15am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Sam Greenwood 37' goal
  • Danijel Loncar 70' yellowcard
  • Karol Angielski 70' yellowcard
  • Kacper Smolinski 70' yellowcard
  • Hussein Ali 81' yellowcard
  • Musa Juwara 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamil Zapolnik 46'
  • yellowcard Rafal Kurzawa 46'
  • yellowcard Radu Boboc 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Guerrero 80'
  • yellowcard Jesús Jiménez 80'
  • goal Rafal Kurzawa 83'

Pogon Szczecin vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Motor Lublin 2 - 1 Szczecin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 6.00pm
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Cracovia
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rafal Kurzawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 46.17% (+0.67)
Draw 24.36% (+0.11)
Nieciecza 29.48% (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.46% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.41% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 19.59% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 59.8% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.47% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 63.53% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 21.72% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.28% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 37.07% (+1.14)
Draw 40.88% (-1.20)
Nieciecza 22.05% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 53.65% (-0.33)
No Goal 5.45% (-0.23)
Nieciecza 40.9% (+0.56)

Corners

Over 8 61.29% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.78% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.86% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.71% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 38.85% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 61.15% (+0.06)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 48.86% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 51.14% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 24.34% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 75.66% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 9.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.72% (-0.02)

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 67.25% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.75% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.14% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 64.86% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 13.95% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 86.05% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 4.55% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.45% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 46.17%
Draw 24.36%
Nieciecza 29.49%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.14)
Other @ 9.08% (+0.07)
Total : 46.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.04)
Total : 24.36%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.13)
Other @ 4.35% (-0.10)
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2025 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT