Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.