Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.