Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2026 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Bartosz Nowak 23' goal
  • Damian Rasak 60' yellowcard
  • Borja Galán 60' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 60' yellowcard
  • Borja Galán 61' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 61' yellowcard
  • Ilya Shkurin 79' yellowcard
  • Eman Markovic 84' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 85' goal
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sondre Liseth 44'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Zmrzly 46'
  • yellowcard Jaroslaw Kubicki 67'
  • yellowcard Roberto Massimo 67'
  • yellowcard Michal Rakoczy 84'
  • yellowcard Borislav Rupanov 90'

Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
Arka Gdynia 2 - 1 Katowice
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 4.45pm
Gornik 0 - 1 Szczecin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lukas Sadilek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 32.64% (-0.23)
Draw 26.6% (-0.03)
Gornik Zabrze 40.75% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.62% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.73% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.23% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 47.77% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 30.96% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.04% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.95% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.05% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Katowice 27.25% (+0.02)
Draw 42.43% (+0.01)
Gornik Zabrze 30.32% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Katowice 44.56% (+0.09)
No Goal 6.77% (-0.13)
Gornik Zabrze 48.67% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.06% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.11% (+0.05)
Under 8 25.84% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.23% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.06)
Under 9 36.94% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.74% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 60.26% (+0.13)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 34.78% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.22% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.11% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 86.89% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.88% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.12% (+0.05)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 74.07% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 25.93% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 41.78% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 58.22% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 18.21% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 81.79% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 6.13% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.87% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Katowice 32.63%
Draw 26.59%
Gornik Zabrze 40.75%
Katowice
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.4% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.84% (-0.08)
Total : 32.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 26.59%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 8.7% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 3.17% (+0.13)
Other @ 6.09% (+0.06)
Total : 40.75%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025 7.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Borja Galan 38' goal
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 80' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Podolski 27'
  • goal Luka Zahovic 51'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 7.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lukas Podolski 4' goal
  • Kamil Lukoszek 39' yellowcard
  • Josema 48' goal
  • Lukas Podolski 64' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksander Komor 90'+2'