Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.