Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Katowice win was 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.