Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.