Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
  • Mileta Rajovic 44' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajović 44' yellowcard
  • Ermal Krasniqi 46' yellowcard
  • Rafal Augustyniak 56' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 76' yellowcard
  • Patryk Kun 83' yellowcard
  • Jakub Żewłakow 83' yellowcard
  • Jakub Zewlakow 83' yellowcard
  • Antonio Colak 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mariusz Stepinski 23'
  • yellowcard Dawid Blanik 64'
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 64'
  • goal Mariusz Stepinski 90'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Nikolov 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nono 90'+2'

Legia Warsaw vs Korona Kielce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 7.15pm
Legia 0 - 1 Piast Gliwice
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Antonio Colak

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 8, 2025 6.00pm
Korona Kielce 1 - 1 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 40.65% (-0.47)
Draw 27.08% (+2.02)
Korona Kielce 32.27% (-1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.02% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.37% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 23.63% (-1.34)
Over 2.5 52.97% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 47.03% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 29.46% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 70.54% (-0.76)
Over 4.5 15.91% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 84.09% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Legia Warsaw 30.87% (+0.14)
Draw 45.11% (+0.50)
Korona Kielce 24.03% (-0.60)

Team To Score First

Legia Warsaw 51.72% (+0.55)
No Goal 6.78% (+0.02)
Korona Kielce 41.5% (-0.57)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% (+0.73)
Equal 8 10.88% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.38% (-0.72)
Over 9 51.22% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.05)
Under 9 37.25% (-0.73)
Over 10.5 40.02% (+0.58)
Under 10.5 59.98% (-0.58)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 1.5 41.73% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 58.27% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 17.67% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 82.33% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.85% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 94.15% (-0.16)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 68.81% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 31.19% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 34.89% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 65.11% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 13.12% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 86.88% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 3.93% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.07% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 40.64%
Draw 27.08%
Korona Kielce 32.27%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.66% (-0.02)
Total : 40.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.92)
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.27% (+0.62)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.29)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.18)
Total : 27.08%
Korona Kielce
1-2 @ 8.12% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-1.06)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.34)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.74% (-0.04)
Total : 32.27%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2025 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Ryoya Morishita 23' redcard
  • Steve Kapuadi 40' goal
  • Maxi Oyedele 89' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 22'
  • yellowcard Marcus Godinho 90'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 28, 2024 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Milosz Trojak 22' yellowcard
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claude Goncalves 34'
  • yellowcard Pawel Wszolek 41'
  • yellowcard Jan Ziolkowski 60'
  • goal Luquinhas 74'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Yoav Hofmeister 3' yellowcard
  • Martin Remacle 45' goal
  • Yevgeny Schikavko 69' goal
  • Martin Remacle 84' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 90'+2' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Blaz Kramer 6'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 9'
  • goal Blaz Kramer 30'
  • yellowcard Patryk Kun 55'
  • goal Marc Gual 60'
  • yellowcard Radovan Pankov 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Bartosz Slisz 11' yellowcard
  • Makana Baku 26' goal
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 37' yellowcard
  • Yuri Ribeiro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 74' redcard
  • Kosta Runjaic 75'+75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kwiecien 55'
  • yellowcard Dalibor Takac 59'
  • yellowcard Nono 90'+4'