Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Korona Kielce win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.