Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.