Sepsi
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Municipal

Sepsi
4 - 0
CSKA Sofia

Matei (19' pen.), Aganovic (70'), Varga (90'), Alimi (90+5' pen.)
Dumitrescu (11'), Stefanescu (18'), Safranko (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Phaeton (14'), Nazon (18'), Mahmutovic (43'), Turitsov (64'), Shaghoyan (80'), Shopov (84'), Jr Carreazo Betin (90+3')
Jr Carreazo Betin (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Sepsi and CSKA Sofia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Bucharest 0-3 Sepsi
Monday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 0-2 Sepsi
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
SepsiDrawCSKA Sofia
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)28.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)37.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sepsi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.14% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sepsi 33.83%
    CSKA Sofia 37.52%
    Draw 28.64%
SepsiDrawCSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Sepsi vs CSKA Sofia

Sepsi
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
CSKA Sofia
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 6pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
CSKA Sofia
0-2
Sepsi

Vion (47'), Mahmutovic (70'), Phaeton (89'), Shopov (89')
Paun (68'), Varga (80')
Alimi (26'), Gheorghe (37'), Niczuly (89')