Polish Ekstraklasa
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Michal Marcjanik 32' goal
  • Nazariy Rusyn 44' goal
  • Edu Espiau 62' yellowcard
  • Tornike Gaprindashvili 62' yellowcard
  • Patryk Szysz 76' yellowcard
  • João Oliveira 90' yellowcard
  • Michal Rzuchowski 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Wdowiak 1'
  • yellowcard Eman Markovic 64'
  • yellowcard Konrad Gruszkowski 73'
  • yellowcard Ilya Shkurin 73'
  • yellowcard Adrian Blad 83'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 83'

Arka Gdynia vs Katowice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.45pm
Szczecin 1 - 0 Arka Gdynia
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.30pm
Katowice 1 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arka Gdynia win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Arka Gdynia 39.82% (+0.33)
Draw 26.94% (+0.07)
Katowice 33.24% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 24.61% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 51.52% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 48.48% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 30.21% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 69.79% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 16.41% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 83.59% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Arka Gdynia 31.45% (+0.02)
Draw 43.34%
Katowice 25.21% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Arka Gdynia 48.59% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.12% (+0.14)
Katowice 44.29% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 50.86% (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.2% (+0.07)
Under 8 36.94% (+0.15)
Over 9 39.12% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.75% (+0.04)
Under 9 49.14% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 28.73% (-0.26)
Under 10.5 71.27% (+0.26)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 1.5 40.22% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.78% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.56% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.44% (+0.04)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 35.54% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 64.46% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 13.76% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 86.24% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 4.52% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 95.48% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 39.82%
Draw 26.93%
Katowice 33.24%
Arka Gdynia
1-0 @ 9.57% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.13% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 2.88% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.38% (-0.05)
Total : 39.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.12% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.93%
Katowice
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.34% (-0.17)
Total : 33.24%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT