Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arka Gdynia win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.