Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
Korona Kielce 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
Rakow 1 - 0 Nieciecza
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jonatan Braut Brunes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa has a probability of 34.1% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win is 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Lech Poznan 39.43% (+3.05)
Draw 26.47% (-0.48)
Rakow Czestochowa 34.1% (-2.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.48% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 23.79% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 52.41% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 47.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.16% (-1.50)
Under 3.5 70.84% (+1.50)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-1.02)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+1.01)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 31.84% (+2.13)
Draw 41.96% (+0.36)
Rakow Czestochowa 26.2% (-2.48)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 46.75% (+1.93)
No Goal 6.78% (-0.14)
Rakow Czestochowa 46.47% (-1.79)

Corners

Over 8 55.11% (-2.57)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.40)
Under 8 32.96% (+2.18)
Over 9 43.2% (-2.71)
Equal 9 11.91% (+0.16)
Under 9 44.89% (+2.57)
Over 10.5 32.31% (-2.62)
Under 10.5 67.69% (+2.63)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 40.35% (+1.93)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-1.93)
Over 2.5 16.09% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 83.91% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 5.14% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 94.86% (-0.36)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 69.83% (-1.74)
Under 0.5 30.17% (+1.74)
Over 1.5 36.48% (-2.75)
Under 1.5 63.52% (+2.75)
Over 2.5 14.07% (-1.80)
Under 2.5 85.93% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.96)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 39.44%
Draw 26.47%
Rakow Czestochowa 34.09%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.44% (+1.08)
1-0 @ 9.17% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 6.19% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.07% (+0.55)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.96% (+0.37)
Total : 39.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.47%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.57)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.45)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.94% (-0.97)
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 24, 2025 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025 5.00pm
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 25' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 63' yellowcard
  • goal Jonatan Braut Brunes 37'
  • goal Efstratios Svarnas 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Efstratios Svarnas 47'
  • yellowcard Fran Tudor 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Erick Otieno 44' yellowcard
  • Efstratios Svarnas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 90'+10'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Efstratios Svarnas 8' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Nowak 14' goal
  • Dawid Drachal 21' yellowcard
  • Gustav Berggren 25' goal
  • Ante Crnac 29' yellowcard
  • Gustav Berggren 36' goal
  • Bartosz Mrozek 69' goal
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 5'
  • yellowcard Filip Marchwinski 40'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Michal Gurgul 7' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 25' goal
  • Jesper Karlstrom 56' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 72' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 90'+3' goal
  • goal Deian Sorescu 2'
  • yellowcard Ben Lederman 56'
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 88'