Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%).