Conference League
Feb 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Håkans 60' yellowcard
  • Yannick Agnero 61' yellowcard
  • Ali Gholizadeh 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Rodríguez 65' goal
  • Alex Douglas 71' yellowcard
  • Gísli Thórdarson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Atta Agyei 9'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Tikkanen 9'
  • yellowcard Arttu Heinonen 79'

Lech Poznan vs KuPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
KuPS 0 - 2 Lech Poznan

KuPS

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
KuPS 0 - 2 Lech Poznan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest KuPS win was 1-2 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 51.22% (-0.01)
Draw 22.63% (-0.06)
KuPS 26.12% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.58% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.56% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.44% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.16% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.84% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 37.78% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 62.22% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 23.69% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.31% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 39%
Draw 39.48%
KuPS 21.52%

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 60.19% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.91% (-0.04)
KuPS 34.9% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.61% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.33% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.06% (-0.06)
Over 9 54.41% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.2% (+0.02)
Under 9 34.39% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 43.26% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 56.74% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 52.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.43% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 27.64%
Under 2.5 72.36%
Over 3.5 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.96% (+0.01)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5 62.76% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.24% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 31.71% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 68.29% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 12.06% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.94% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 51.22%
Draw 22.64%
KuPS 26.12%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.78%
Total : 51.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 22.64%
KuPS
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.74% (+0.04)
Total : 26.12%

Head to Head

Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • goal Antoni Kozubal 9'
  • goal Taofeek Ismaheel 41'
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 46'
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 46'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 46'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Skrzypczak 62'
  • yellowcard Patrik Wålemark 62'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 77'