Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.