Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • goal Antoni Kozubal 9'
  • goal Taofeek Ismaheel 41'
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 46'
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 46'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 46'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Skrzypczak 62'
  • yellowcard Patrik Wålemark 62'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 77'

KuPS vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

KuPS

All competitions

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest KuPS win was 2-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

KuPS 34.37% (-0.04)
Draw 23.38%
Lech Poznan 42.28% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.81% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.81% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 58.31% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.68% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 37.18% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 62.82% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 22.32% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.68% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

KuPS 28.79%
Draw 40.54%
Lech Poznan 30.67%

Team To Score First

KuPS 43.07%
No Goal 5.07%
Lech Poznan 51.86%

Corners

Over 8 57.66%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 30.94%
Over 9 46.09%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 42.34%
Over 10.5 35.28%
Under 10.5 64.72%

KuPS Goals

Over 1.5 38.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.35% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.03% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 74.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.54% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.62% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

KuPS 34.38%
Draw 23.39%
Lech Poznan 42.28%
KuPS
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.01% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.24%
Other @ 5.69% (-0.02)
Total : 34.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.39%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.89%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 3.1%
Other @ 8.39% (-0.01)
Total : 42.28%