Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.