Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Exbud Arena
  • Mariusz Stepinski 54' goal
  • Simon Gustafson 64' yellowcard
  • Nikodem Niski 70' yellowcard
  • Nono 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 30'
  • goal Antonio Milic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrik Wålemark 46'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 64'
  • yellowcard Timothy Ouma 80'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 80'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 90'+6'

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 5.00pm
Radomiak Radom 0 - 2 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Korona Kielce 28.3% (-0.17)
Draw 25.33% (+0.01)
Lech Poznan 46.36% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.55% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 52.75% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 47.25% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 30.26% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 69.74% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.97%
Under 4.5 83.03%

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 23.4%
Draw 42.79%
Lech Poznan 33.8%

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 38.73% (-0.12)
No Goal 6.79% (+0.06)
Lech Poznan 54.48% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.75% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.71% (+0.14)
Over 9 51.17% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.05)
Under 9 37.46% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 40.13%
Under 10.5 59.87%

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 31.14% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 68.86% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.03% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 88.97% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 23.21% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 46.22%
Under 1.5 53.78%
Over 2.5 21.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.64% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.36% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 28.31%
Draw 25.33%
Lech Poznan 46.36%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.87% (-0.03)
Total : 28.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.33%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.47% (+0.05)
Total : 46.36%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2025 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 5, 2025 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Ali Gholizadeh 30' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 55' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 83' goal
  • yellowcard Pau Resta Tell 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Milosz Trojak 63'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 64'
  • yellowcard Milosz Strzebonski 81'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2024 1.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Milosz Trojak 4' yellowcard
  • Jacek Zielinski 5' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 27' goal
  • Martin Remacle 38' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 55' goal
  • goal Patrik Walemark 14'
  • yellowcard Dino Hotic 55'
  • goal Patrik Walemark 61'
  • goal Patrik Walemark 64'
  • yellowcard Bryan Fiabema 85'
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Mikael Ishak 5' yellowcard
  • Jesper Karlstrom 46' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 45'+3' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 52' redcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 58' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 71' yellowcard
  • Antonio Milic 87' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Mrozek 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fredrik Krogstad 10'
  • yellowcard Jacek Podgorski 44'
  • goal Yevgeny Schikavko 57'
  • goal Yevgeny Schikavko 65'
  • yellowcard Yoav Hofmeister 70'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kwiecien 87'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dalmau 87'
  • yellowcard Milosz Trojak 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Nono 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Douglas 14'
  • yellowcard John van den Brom 15'
  • yellowcard Ali Gholizadeh 38'
  • yellowcard Dino Hotic 84'
  • goal Kristoffer Velde 86'