Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Pogon Szczecin win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.