Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.66% and a win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%) , while for a Widzew Lodz win it was 1-2 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.