Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.15pm
Katowice 3 - 1 Gornik
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Patrik Hellebrand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Gornik Zabrze has a probability of 34.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win is 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Motor Lublin 39.64%
Draw 25.6%
Gornik Zabrze 34.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.12%
Under 1.5 20.88%
Over 2.5 56.61%
Under 2.5 43.39%
Over 3.5 34.15%
Under 3.5 65.85%
Over 4.5 19.62%
Under 4.5 80.38%

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 31.97%
Draw 40.73%
Gornik Zabrze 27.31%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 49.29%
No Goal 5.58%
Gornik Zabrze 45.13%

Corners

Over 8 61.16%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 27.61%
Over 9 49.39%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 38.84%
Over 10.5 38.11%
Under 10.5 61.89%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 42.74%
Under 1.5 57.26%
Over 2.5 18.71%
Under 2.5 81.29%
Over 3.5 6.62%
Under 3.5 93.38%

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 71.2%
Under 0.5 28.8%
Over 1.5 39.01%
Under 1.5 60.99%
Over 2.5 16.38%
Under 2.5 83.62%
Over 3.5 5.57%
Under 3.5 94.43%

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 39.65%
Draw 25.6%
Gornik Zabrze 34.8%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.86%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.98%
Other @ 6.35%
Total : 39.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.6%
Gornik Zabrze
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.96%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.52%
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 34.8%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 16' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 17' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 25' goal
  • Matus Kmet 50' goal
  • Patrik Hellebrand 53' goal
  • Ousmane Sow 64' goal
  • Kryspin Szczesniak 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marek Bartos 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 13, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Mateusz Stolarski 22' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 43' yellowcard
  • Christopher Serge Simon 49' goal
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 21'
  • yellowcard Lukas Ambros 84'