Polish Ekstraklasa
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Thomas Santos 62' yellowcard
  • Bradly van Hoeven 62' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 73' yellowcard
  • Paskal Meyer 73' yellowcard
  • Jakub Labojko 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksym Khlan 56'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 56'
  • yellowcard Lukas Sadilek 56'
  • yellowcard Borislav Rupanov 73'
  • yellowcard Bastien Donio 90'
  • yellowcard Bastien Donio 90'+1'

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mbaye Ndiaye

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.15pm
Katowice 3 - 1 Gornik
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lukas Sadilek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 1-2 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 39.83%
Draw 25.62% (+0.06)
Gornik Zabrze 34.55% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.23% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.33% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 56.14% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 43.86% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 33.33% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.67% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.07% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.93% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 31.72%
Draw 40.72%
Gornik Zabrze 27.56%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 49.48% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.81% (+0.03)
Gornik Zabrze 44.71% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.45%
Equal 8 10.78% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.77% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.15%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 38.55%
Over 10.5 39.26%
Under 10.5 60.74%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 42.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.47% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.53% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.59% (+0.02)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.65% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.35% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 16.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.32% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.68% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 39.83%
Draw 25.61%
Gornik Zabrze 34.55%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.3% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.91% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.14% (-0.02)
Total : 39.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 5.81% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.61%
Gornik Zabrze
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.05% (-0.04)
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 16' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 17' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 25' goal
  • Matus Kmet 50' goal
  • Patrik Hellebrand 53' goal
  • Ousmane Sow 64' goal
  • Kryspin Szczesniak 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marek Bartos 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 13, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Mateusz Stolarski 22' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 43' yellowcard
  • Christopher Serge Simon 49' goal
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 21'
  • yellowcard Lukas Ambros 84'