Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.