Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 5.00pm
Piast Gliwice 1 - 2 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
Korona Kielce 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 35.66% and a draw has a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Motor Lublin 35.66% (+0.09)
Draw 26.21% (+0.09)
Korona Kielce 38.13% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.8% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.77% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.23% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.87% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.13% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.44% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 68.56% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 17.28% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.72% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 29.72%
Draw 42.1%
Korona Kielce 28.18%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 45.58% (+0.23)
No Goal 6.31% (+0.02)
Korona Kielce 48.11% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 63.05% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.74% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.2% (+0.01)
Over 9 51.65% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.95% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 40.53% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 59.47% (+0.04)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 38.27% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.73% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.07% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.04)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 72.88% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.12% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.17% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 58.83% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 16.65% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 83.35% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.47% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 94.53% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 35.65%
Draw 26.22%
Korona Kielce 38.14%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.24% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.38% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.55% (-0.05)
Total : 35.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 26.22%
Korona Kielce
1-2 @ 9.19% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.10)
Other @ 5.26% (-0.12)
Total : 38.14%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 9, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Adrian Dalmau 36' yellowcard
  • Bartlomiej Smolarczyk 56' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 78' goal
  • Rafal Mamla 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 51'
  • yellowcard Kacper Rosa 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Samuel Mraz 3' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 59' yellowcard
  • Piotr Ceglarz 81' goal
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 43'
  • yellowcard Xavier Dziekonski 80'
  • yellowcard Konrad Matuszewski 90'+3'