Polish Ekstraklasa
Feb 15, 2026 11.15am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Arena Lublin
  • Bartosz Wolski 12' goal
  • Matej Rodin 47' goal
  • Michal Krol 72' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Najemski 72' yellowcard
  • Filip Wojcik 72' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 85' yellowcard
  • Jakub Labojko 85' yellowcard
  • goal Camilo Mena 16'
  • goal Tomasz Neugebauer 37'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mena 73'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Viunnyk 78'
  • yellowcard Kacper Sezonienko 82'
  • yellowcard Maksym Dyachuk 86'

Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 4 - 1 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.30pm
Gdansk 1 - 1 Cracovia
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 46.37% (+0.17)
Draw 24.64% (-0.13)
Lechia Gdansk 28.99% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.56% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 17.94% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.98% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 39.02% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 39.04% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 60.96% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 23.25% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.75% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 36.74% (+0.22)
Draw 38.49% (-0.37)
Lechia Gdansk 24.77% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 53.93% (-0.28)
No Goal 4.6% (-0.07)
Lechia Gdansk 41.47% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 67.24% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.5% (+0.04)
Under 8 22.26% (+0.14)
Over 9 55.66% (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.02)
Under 9 32.76% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 44.01% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 55.99% (+0.22)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 51.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 48.96% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 25.23% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 74.77% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 9.74% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.26% (+0.08)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5 67.99% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 32.01% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.73% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.27% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 14.45% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.84% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.16% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 46.36%
Draw 24.64%
Lechia Gdansk 28.99%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 7.62% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.47% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.44% (-0.06)
Total : 46.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.04)
Total : 24.64%
Lechia Gdansk
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.54% (-0.04)
Total : 28.99%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 11, 2025 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2025 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Jakub Labojko 23' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Wolski 78' goal
  • Filip Luberecki 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Camilo Mena 86'
  • yellowcard Kacper Sezonienko 90'+6'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2024 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Energa Gdansk
  • Bogdan Sarnavskiy 25' yellowcard
  • Andrei Chindris 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Krzysztof Kubica 32'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 71'
  • goal Piotr Ceglarz 74'
  • yellowcard Filip Luberecki 85'