Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.31% and a win for Mladost Lucani had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Mladost Lucani win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.