Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelyabinsk win with a probability of 41%. A draw had a probability of 31.55% and a win for Mladost Lucani had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelyabinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.58%) , while for a Mladost Lucani win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.