Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Hradec Kralove win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.