Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 34.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.19%).