Premier League Gameweek 33
Man City
Apr 19, 2026 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Rayan Cherki 16' goal
  • Erling Haaland 65' goal
  • Phil Foden 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Savinho 88' yellowcard
  • Nico González 88' yellowcard
  • Nathan Aké 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 18'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 45'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 46'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 74'
  • yellowcard Ben White 74'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 85'

Manchester City vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 41.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Arsenal 34.36% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.25% ▲ (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.91% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 19.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 58.9% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 35.74% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 64.23% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 4.5 21.5% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 78.5% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 34.51% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 38.02% ▼ (-0.28)
Arsenal 27.47% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 49.75% ▼ (-0.43)
No Goal 4.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Arsenal 45.35% ▲ (+0.49)

Corners

Over 8 51.12% ▲ (+0.59)
Equal 8 11.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 37.45% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 9 40.05% ▲ (+0.52)
Equal 9 11.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 48.88% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 10.5 30.15% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 10.5 69.85% ▼ (-0.41)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 45.01% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 54.99% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 21.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 78.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 91.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 69.73% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 30.27% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39.07% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 60.93% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 16.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 83.3% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 5.71% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 94.29% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Manchester City 41.54%
Draw 24.07%
Arsenal 34.36%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 41.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.07%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Arsenal
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man City
  • Riccardo Calafiori 65' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 82' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 60'
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 64'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 90'
Premier League
Arsenal
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 24
Arsenal
Feb 2, 2025 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Man City
  • Martin Odegaard 2' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 25' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 56' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 62' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 71' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 76' goal
  • Ethan Nwaneri 90'+3' goal
  • goal Erling Haaland 55'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Man City
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Erling Haaland 9' goal
  • Ederson 23' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • John Stones 90'+8' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Calafiori 22'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 34'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 45'+7'
  • redcard Leandro Trossard 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 65'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 83'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Mar 31, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 67'
  • yellowcard David Raya 79'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Arsenal
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Man City
  • Jorginho 11' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 86' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 23'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 29'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+3'

Form Data

Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Man City 4 - 0 Liverpool
Arsenal 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid
West Ham 1 - 1 Man City
Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal
Southampton 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 2 Man City
Arsenal 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Build-up

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