Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%).