FA Cup
Apr 4, 2026 12.45pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Liverpool

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 29.35% and a draw has a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

Manchester City 47.42%
Draw 23.23%
Liverpool 29.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.22% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.36%
Under 2.5 41.64%
Over 3.5 36.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 63.55% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.38% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.62% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 37%
Draw 38.66%
Liverpool 24.34%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 54.93%
No Goal 5.21%
Liverpool 39.86%

Corners

Over 8 56.19% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 32.77%
Over 9 45.08% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 43.81% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.76% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.24% (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 49.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.56% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.16%
Under 3.5 89.84%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 65.15% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.85% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.87% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.89% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.11% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 47.41%
Draw 23.24%
Liverpool 29.34%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 9.8%
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.24%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.53% (-0.01)
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 8, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 74' goal
  • Curtis Jones 85' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 61'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 61'
  • yellowcard Rúben Dias  61'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 84'
  • goal Bernardo Silva   84'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ake 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nathan Aké 90'+6'
Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Etihad Stadium
  • goal Mohamed Salah 14'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 37'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Cody Gakpo 12' goal
  • Ryan Gravenberch 36' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 78' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 24'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 32'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 45'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Anfield
  • Alexis Mac Allister 50' goal
  • goal John Stones 23'
  • yellowcard Ederson 47'
  • yellowcard Rodri 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 59'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Haaland 27' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 75'
  • goal Trent Alexander-Arnold 80'
  • yellowcard Joel Matip 86'
  • yellowcard Wataru Endo 90'+3'

Build-up

News