Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 29.35% and a draw has a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).